Atlas van de algemene en Belgische geschiedenis Franz Hayt€ 19,70
Kenmerken
AuteurDan Gardner
ConditieGelezen
Productnummer (ISBN)9780753522370
Jaar (oorspr.)2012
Beschrijving
BoekenBalie maakt van tweedehands jouw eerste keuze. Met een Trustscore van 4,8 (excellent) en 30 dagen retour garantie maken we dat iedere dag waar.
Titel: Future Babble
Auteur: Dan Gardner
ISBN: 9780753522370
Conditie: Beetje gebruikt
In 2008, as the price of oil surged above $140 a barrel, experts said it would soon hit $200; a few months later it plunged to $30. Face it, experts are about as accurate as dart-throwing monkeys. And yet every day we ask them to predict the future. This book examines this phenomenon, showing why our brains yearn for certainty about the future.
In 2008, as the price of oil surged above $140 a barrel, experts said it would soon hit $200; a few months later it plunged to $30. In 1908, it was pronounced that there would be no more wars in Europe; we all know how that turned out. Face it, experts are about as accurate as dart-throwing monkeys. And yet every day we ask them to predict the future – everythng from the weather to the likelihood of a terrorist attack. Future Babble is the first book to examine this phenomenon, showing why our brains yearn for certainty about the future, why we are attracted to those who predict it confidently, and why it's so easy for us to ignore the trail of outrageously wrong forecasts.
In this fast-paced, example-packed, sometimes darkly hilarious book, Dan Gardner shows how seminal research by professor Philip Tetlock proved that the more famous a pundit is, the more likely they are to be right about as often as a stopped watch. Gardner also draws on current research in cognitive psychology, political science, and behavioral economics to discover something quite reassuring: The future is always uncertain, but the end is not always near.
Titel: Future Babble
Auteur: Dan Gardner
ISBN: 9780753522370
Conditie: Beetje gebruikt
In 2008, as the price of oil surged above $140 a barrel, experts said it would soon hit $200; a few months later it plunged to $30. Face it, experts are about as accurate as dart-throwing monkeys. And yet every day we ask them to predict the future. This book examines this phenomenon, showing why our brains yearn for certainty about the future.
In 2008, as the price of oil surged above $140 a barrel, experts said it would soon hit $200; a few months later it plunged to $30. In 1908, it was pronounced that there would be no more wars in Europe; we all know how that turned out. Face it, experts are about as accurate as dart-throwing monkeys. And yet every day we ask them to predict the future – everythng from the weather to the likelihood of a terrorist attack. Future Babble is the first book to examine this phenomenon, showing why our brains yearn for certainty about the future, why we are attracted to those who predict it confidently, and why it's so easy for us to ignore the trail of outrageously wrong forecasts.
In this fast-paced, example-packed, sometimes darkly hilarious book, Dan Gardner shows how seminal research by professor Philip Tetlock proved that the more famous a pundit is, the more likely they are to be right about as often as a stopped watch. Gardner also draws on current research in cognitive psychology, political science, and behavioral economics to discover something quite reassuring: The future is always uncertain, but the end is not always near.
Waarom je bij BoekenBalie moet zijn voor al je tweedehands boeken:
- Bestel je voor 15:00 uur? Dan vliegt het dezelfde dag nog jouw kant op!
- Meer dan 400.000 tweedehands boeken om uit te kiezen
- We checken alle boeken eigenhandig
- Vanaf 40 euro of bij 4 boeken is de verzending op onze rekening
- 30 dagen retourgarantie
Website
boekenbalie.nl
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
Zoekertjesnummer: a14995507000sinds 8 mei. '25, 08:02
Populaire zoektermen
harry potter engelstaal laten groeienassimil engelsleo engelsharry potter engelsengels lerendisney engels lerenthe hunger games engelstwilight engelsatlas van de nederlandse taalharry potter boeken engelsstephen king engelsassimil engelsengels wielvelgen audi a1 in Banden en Velgensuzuki 4x4 in Suzukimercedes lokeren in Mercedes-Benzlaney versterker in Versterkers | Bas en Gitaarturks fruit in Dvd's | Nederlandstaligsaba in Radio'stent 4 x 8 in Partytentenceruse in Complete eetkamerswindwijzers in Windwijzers en Windmolensgent in Chevrolet